- The BayesShield AI system analyzed a full year of real retail trading data to validate the company’s machine learning models.
- BayesShield is designed to predict loss probability at the individual trade level and intervene before execution and is being trained on more than 11.7 billion historical trades using NVIDIA hardware.
- Perpetuals operates regulated derivatives infrastructure rather than a balance-sheet exchange, avoiding custody and counterparty exposure by design, and plans to deploy BayesShield across its regulated trading venues, including a CySEC-authorized MiFID II MTF.
Perpetuals.com (NASDAQ: PDC), a fintech company focused on AI-driven digital asset trading solutions and regulated market infrastructure, announced that it has completed a pilot of its BayesShield(TM) artificial intelligence system, indicating that the technology would have successfully filtered out 92% of losing retail trades in Bitcoin perpetual futures based on a year-long backtest of real trading activity (https://ibn.fm/Vbl3F).
The company reported that the BayesShield AI Pilot Program analyzed historical BTC-USD perpetual futures trades and identified patterns that predicted losses before execution. Chief Executive Patrick Gruhn said the findings validate years of research into retail trading behavior. “The data show that the vast majority of retail losses in leveraged derivatives markets are predictable and preventable,” Gruhn said in the statement. He added that BayesShield is intended to change how trading platforms manage retail risk by identifying high-probability losing trades before they reach the market.
The pilot comes amid volatile cryptocurrency conditions that have tested retail traders with sharp price swings. Perpetuals said BayesShield’s predictive models are designed to operate in real time, calculating win-loss probabilities using both individual trader profiles and aggregated market sentiment.
Perpetuals said it has begun full-scale development of BayesShield following the pilot. The production system is being trained on NVIDIA hardware using one of the largest retail trading datasets the company has assembled. That dataset includes more than 11.7 billion individual trades across multiple years, over one million unique user histories, cryptocurrency spot markets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, crypto derivatives including perpetual futures and options, and selected traditional equity markets to support cross-asset validation.
According to the company, BayesShield is designed not only to protect retail participants but also to help product issuers, such as derivatives platforms and market makers, optimize hedging strategies by understanding loss probabilities before trades are executed.
Perpetuals said the system analyzes profit-and-loss profiles at the individual level while also modeling broader behavioral patterns across the market. “The retail derivatives market has historically operated on a model where the majority of participants lose money,” Gruhn said. “By predicting which trades are likely to fail before they execute, we can create trading environments that are both more ethical and more sustainable for all participants.”
Perpetuals has announced that BayesShield will be deployed across its regulated trading infrastructure, including a third-party, CySEC-authorized MiFID II MTF. A broader commercial rollout is planned for the second half of the year, with institutional partners and trading platforms invited to begin integration discussions.
Perpetuals.com operates as a regulated digital market infrastructure provider rather than a traditional exchange. The company offers an API-driven platform that enables brokers, institutions, and trading venues to access crypto and tokenized derivatives within compliant frameworks.
Unlike many offshore crypto venues, Perpetuals is structured to avoid custody of client assets and balance-sheet exposure, positioning itself as infrastructure rather than a trading counterparty. The platform is built around an EU Multilateral Trading Facility (“MTF”) framework and is designed to support crypto spot trading, perpetual futures, options, swaps, and tokenized structured products.
The company says this model addresses a structural gap in Europe, where regulatory constraints limit how brokers can offer leveraged crypto products, even as retail demand continues to grow. By providing regulated knock-out instruments and structured products, Perpetuals aims to offer leveraged exposure while remaining within European regulatory limits.
The company operates at the intersection of crypto derivatives, CFD brokerage infrastructure, and tokenized financial products. Industry data cited by Perpetuals show the global crypto perpetual futures market processing roughly $2.18 trillion in monthly volume, while Europe’s CFD market generates approximately $17.34 trillion in monthly notional volume.
European regulators restrict CFD brokers from offering high-leverage crypto products, creating a gap between trader demand and compliant access. Perpetuals is targeting that gap by providing regulated infrastructure that supports leveraged exposure without relying on offshore venues.
For more information, visit the company’s website at https://group.perpetuals.com.
NOTE TO INVESTORS: The latest news and updates relating to PDC are available in the company’s newsroom at https://ibn.fm/PDC
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